Will Nifty hold  21,850 mark or continue the downfall- See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens

GIFT Nifty indicated that Indian equity indices BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty 50 may see a negative opening on Monday. Here is all you need to know before the market opens.

GIFT Nifty traded down by 31.50 points or 0.14% at 21,935 indicating a negative opening for domestic indices NSE Nifty 50 and BSE Sensex on Monday. Previously, on Friday, the NSE Nifty 50 gained 156.35 points or 0.72% to settle at 21,853.80, while the BSE Sensex surged by 440.34 points or 0.61% to 72,085.64.

“It turned out to be a roller coaster ride for participants on Friday as the benchmark oscillated sharply on both sides and ended with modest gains. After the gap-up start, Nifty marched towards its record high but couldn’t hold that level for long and surrendered most of its gains. Among the key sectors, energy, metal and IT ended with strong gains while banking and FMCG closed in the red. The broader indices too traded mixed wherein smallcap managed to gain nearly a percent,” Ajit Mishra, SVP – Technical Research, Religare Broking Ltd.

Will Nifty scale to 25,000 and end the week with gains? See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens
Will Nifty trade above 24,800, or will it experience profit booking? See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens
Will Nifty scale up to 24,500, or will it face further decline? See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens
Will Nifty scale up to 24,500 or see profit booking from higher levels? See GIFT Nifty, FII data, F&O ban, crude, more before market opens
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Mishra also added that, Nifty has retested its record high after consolidating for two weeks but we feel it is early to assume that we are set for the next leg of the up move. It needs sustainability above 22,150 to march towards 22,500+.  Besides, consistency in the participation from the banking majors is also critical for a steady trend else the range-bound trend would continue. Traders should focus more on stock selection in the present scenario and maintain positions on both sides. 

Key things to know before share market opens on February 5, 2024

Wall Street

The U.S. stock market extended the week’s gains amid a rally in big tech and as a solid jobs report bolstered the outlook for corporate America, reported Bloomberg. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite gained 277.29 points or 1.81% at 15,638.93. The S&P 500 surged by 58.36 points or 1.19% at 4,964.55, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended higher by 186.47 points or 0.48% at 38,706.31.

US Dollar 

The US Dollar Index (DXY), which measures the value of the dollar against a basket of six foreign currencies, traded up by 0.14% at 104.11.

Crude Oil 

WTI crude prices are trading at $72.69 up by 0.57%, while Brent crude prices are trading at $77.81 up by 0.62%, on Monday morning.

Asian Markets

Shares in the Asia-Pacific region traded in mixed territory on Monday. The Asia Dow is trading up by 0.14%, where as the Japan’s Nikkei 225 is ended in green, up by 0.41%, Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index is closed lower by 0.21% and the benchmark Chinese index Shanghai Composite is dropped by 1.46% to end Friday’s trading session.

FII, DII Data

Foreign institutional investors (FII) mopped shares worth net Rs 70.7 crore, while domestic institutional investors (DII) bought shares worth net Rs 2,463.2 crore on February 2, 2023, according to the provisional data available on the NSE.

F&O Ban

The NSE has added Hindustan Copper, India Cements, Indus Tower, SAIL, and Zee Entertainment Enterprise February 5, 2024.

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Technical View

Commenting on the Technical outlook of Rupak De, Senior Technical Analyst at LKP Securities, said Nifty surpassed the 22,000 mark during the first half of the Friday session but subsequently formed a double top on the hourly chart. Confirmation of a bullish trend resumption would only occur with a decisive breakout above the double top, which is currently identified around 22,125. Conversely, a break below the support level at 21,500 could indicate a bearish momentum. In the scenario of a breakout above 22,150, Nifty may experience upward momentum, potentially reaching levels such as 22,500 and beyond.

Bank Nifty Outlook

“The Bank Nifty bears regained control as the index failed to surpass the crucial level of 46500 on a closing basis. The immediate support for the index is situated at 47700, and a breach below this level is anticipated to intensify selling pressure, potentially pushing the index towards the 45000 mark. Given the heightened volatility in the near term, traders are advised to approach the market with caution and implement strict risk management measures to navigate potential fluctuations,” said Kunal Shah, Senior Technical & Derivative Analyst at LKP Securities.

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